Proof that AAP is indeed getting 47%

 

Proof
This is a 20 video playlist of "LIVE" on camera" opinion poll conducted by NewsXpress channel 
 
I have gone through all the 20 odd videos and here is a spreadsheet or tally which clearly shows that Aam Aadmi Party is clearly ahead of BJP and Congress.



You can watch whole video and tally votes, If you are in a hurry here is Quick Data in excelsheet for you




(Also request you to scroll down and read my takeaway opinions from this series of video below)

What is a live opinion poll and how it is different
Live opinion poll where reporter goes on the streets talking to random people in Delhi. Asking for their opinion on which party /politician looks promising this year.

Because everything is on the camera, nothing can be fake. So here is raw, ground level, data.


Disclaimers
Before my friends on social media raise any questions. I would like to admit that in 1 or 2 cases where their tally of numbers may not match my tally.

I have tried my best to be accurate!

Still If you do not believe in the stats. You can go through all the videos and tally the numbers i have mentioned in each video. I am sure your will be close to my numbers anytime!

I have tried my best to tally votes only when people specifically say a party's name. or clearly appreciate a party (which means their vote will go to that party)


Rest assured, the difference won't be much.

Affiliations:
Also, Newsexpresslive and its anchor is not related to Aam Aadmi Party in any way (to best of my knowledge) they did not run this survey to prove anything in favour for AAP.

And i would like to add that i really liked this show and it was a very good idea. It also reminded me of my days in Delhi and showed a picture of the city i never knew about! 

This study is completely based on what people said verbally in the videos.

I am also not directly working for AAP but just supporting them online. So my reading here may be biased. You can judge the report by watching the videos  (6 hours long) . I have watched twice to make sure my tally is correct!


100% Legitimate
This is probably the most legitimate opinion poll you may ever come across.

No matter which party you support you cannot deny the results shown in this video. Videos can't lie.

A survey published in magazines/newspaper may be easily manipulated. But a video shot in broad day light cannot be wrong!

Picture tells 1000 words and a video tells 24 truths per second with "audio"!

Kudos to Aam Aadmi Party
This report also prooves that Aam Aadmi Party was indeed correct in showing their surveys and not faking their reports as claimed by many TV news channel like Rajat Sharma on Aap Ki Adalat and Cong/BJP supporters.


Takeaways from the video:

Here are some of the few interesting things i noticed in the survey. And my thoughts. I have tried my best to not to be biased for AAP but i may have made errors anywhere in this whole article or report in any form.

I am not a professional survey analyst. You can disregard this survey at your will. I just wrote it from a layman point of view. But may be you will find some valid points worth reading here:

1. AAP is not a vote cutter
   The survey clearly shows that AAP is not a vote cutter but in the lead. I agree that there could have been some irregular tallies here and there. But on a overall look the picture remains very clear that AAP is definitely not a vote cutter but in the lead. Very promising!
   
   In some videos people say that all people in their colonies have decided to vote for AAP. They took responsibility of 1000-2000 people. This happened once for BJP. And almost never for Congress.
   
   "Jhaadu" relevant and popular
   Election symbol "Jhaadu" strikes a chord with common people. Throughout the video Jhaadus lying around automatically did the promotion for AAP.
   
   Jhaadu has not only made space but covering majority of area in Delhi's election room!
   
2. Lack of awareness - biggest problem!
   Video clearly shows that people are not aware about their MLAs. They don't take interest in politics. Not because they don't want to but because they realize that "no one will listen"
   
   Most of them don't even realize the possibilities of what work an MLA could and should do. They probably don't know about things like RTI.
   
   I don't think that anyone knew about how much funds were allocated and how much work was done. This is the real problem.
   
   More awareness needed
   Aam Aadmi needs to be aware about how much funds MLA got, what work was done with that money. Was there are corruption.
   
   Then they will know the MLA better. And probably in that case they won't vote for majority of Cong/BJP . Right now they just vote even if things are okay-sh and there's something majorly wrong.
   
   Another appalling fact that they think inflation is not because of politicians. This is a serious problem which even Arvindji has talked about several times in almost all of his speeches.
   
    
3. People have very little or no expectations
   
   They just expect a little bit of work like proper sanitation, cleanliness, repair of roads.
   
   Aam Aadmi Party will definitely change this and make things competitive for other parties. As its the only party which believes in "Manifesto made by people".
   
   Right now, people are happy even if basic things are offered to them. They are happy if they get water and sometimes even okay with electricity.
   
   Right now people don't expect much. Because expectation usually led to disappointment.
   
   People don't know about "possibilities" and their rights. Which means there was no competition. This makes BJP/Cong happy
   
   But AAP is coming now and hopefully people will increase their expectations and make things difficult for corrupt MLAs.
   
   Things will definitely change!
   
   All this will lead to politics that is less "lucrative" but more about "service" to the people! Because it won't be easy to fool people and take away all the funds in personal accounts. Or spend 1 lakh in a 10,000 rs job.
   
   
   
4. All kind of supporters!
   AAP supporters are varied. Housewives, people livng in slums, students, older people, youth.
   
   It had supporters in all areas, DTC buses, slums, govt colonies. But less in shops (read point number 10 below)
5. AAP's votebank = people who need a CHANGE!
   Majority of people who are going to vote for AAP are people who are tired of lies from both BJP/Cong and need a new option.
   
   The word "new" was almost always prefixed while mentioning AAP. While majority of Cong supporters said they vote for Congress because their forefathers have been doing so! (A bit sad, but true)
   
   Most of these voters are fed up because no work happen in their area. They don't like their MLAs. Many of them support Kejriwal
6. Opportunity for AAP - Convert NATOs
   Almost half of the people said they don't want to vote because "everyone" is the same.
   Majority of people in the video are not aware about Jhaadu's novelty! They still think that all politicians are same and they won't vote. Or vote on "none of the above"
   
   If AAP can spread message amonsgt this section of voters their share can easily increase by 10-15% More can definitely be done in this regard. Instead of trying to convert die hard BJP/Cong supporters. Or convert people who have someone in their family affiliated to these parties.
   
   Its better to seek support from people who have lost hope and thinking NATO. Because that's what AAP is all about, new!
7. Social voting
   Another very interesting thing to notice in the video is that people vote on social recommendations.
   
   But also because "Ghar mai sab usi ko dete hai" and also "Jisko hamare bacche denge ham bhi unko he denge"
   
   These people does not seem to know or care much about political conditions. Which not very encouraging for a healthy democracy.
8. Modi factor!
   If it was not for Modi BJP would get any more than 10-15% votes. The Modi factor is indeed there. In some cases people started shouting slogans of Modi Zindabad during the interview! :)
   
   Certainly BJP is going to get benefit of Modi popularity in Delhi. But this could change if people realize that Modi is not directly related to this election.
   
   There was a mixed reaction for BJP in Dr Harshwardhan's constituency and almost a tie between AAP n BJP. 
   
   I personally feel that people in Delhi should give a chance to a new party. BJP also have had enough of chances on state/municipal level in the past.
9. Full support to AAP from rikshaw drivers
   100% of the rikshaw drivers in these videos are defintely going to support AAP!
10. Businessmen camera shy
    Businessmen/shop owners generally a bit apprehensive speaking against their local MLA (for obvious reasons)
    
    They mostly speak in favor of their area MLA, both BJP and Congress. But many times they also add a few positive comments about Aam Aadmi Party and "possibility" that they will consider it.
11. 
    

Request to critics and BJP/Cong supporters

Let's do a healthy competition!


It's good that you are raising questions about a new party.  It helps AAP supporters like me to stay informed.

If it were nt for you guys i probably would have never known much about AAP and Arvind Kejriwal. 

After every allegation I go on to google to find information and in most cases i find that allegations were not true and my trust in Aam Aami Party becomes stronger!

It helps the supporters of AAP to keep a tab on our party itself. 


So far so good. But 
I would request you to PLEASE do not spread false rumors.There are legitimate things about BJP  which AAP supporters should accept. And vice versa.

There are good things about Modi. I personally aaccept them. And there are things I do not accept. 


You should also accept good things about AAP. Till now I have only heard bad things about Kejriwal and AAP from majority of BJP/Cong representatives on twitter.

You never credit AAP for exposing people like Vadra, Khushid. I think it's not good. It makes corrupts evade from an answer because questions are not raised against them but whistle blowers.

You say that Arvind left Annaji and Kiranji, which everyone knows is nt true! 

We all know that it was BJP/Cong that cheated common people for two years. Jan Lokpal was not only about Anna or Arvind, but thousands of common men from all walks of life and parties supported it. 


By accepting good things about any party we will create an environment where ideas are groomed and not suppressed.  Of course the same stands for AAP supporters too!




B team of Cong/BJP
You have claimed that AAP is  B team of congress etc. I seriously do not think so. Not because I am an AAP supporter but because two co-incidences does not make one truth. 

Just because there was some Congress person in survey agency, it does not mean that AAP is B team of Congress or whatever.

I have personally talked to many BJP supporters and AAP critics but there was not a single believable evidence which proved tht AAP is even distant working in any favour of Congress.

And the reasoning that "Congress has created AAP because they know they will loose" sounds completely unbelievable to me.

In fact Annaji, IAC, Aam Aadmi Party, Kejriwal have done damage to Congress which even BJP was not able to do in all these years.


Let's support ideas and systems and not people and party!

Think about it, dear fellow brothers and sisters. You may support BJP/Cong for xyz tid bit reasons. 
 But there is no reason why you should not support Aam Aadmi Party because...

Only NEW experiments bring.... NEW results.

How can repeating the same thing do something NEW?

Vote for only AAP in Delhi, let's experiment and do something new! Let's innovate and bring a more systematic politics in our country. Don't kill this 1 year old baby because of fear politics! AS used by Congress and BJP all these years.


Want to help AAP or volunteer? 
You can easily register on http://emc3.aamaadmiparty.org/ . Registration is fairly easy and you can start calling people in Delhi and encourage them to be aware and give this new experiment a try!

Use the word "Jhaadu" more as people seem to remember that!


With lot of hope and love to all..


Jai Hind!
Satyamev Jayate!


- A Mango Man!